Results & Resources

Scenarios & Future Pathways

The future of nature restoration will depend on decisions made today — and on how environmental, economic, social and policy conditions evolve.

NatuRISE will use scenarios and forward-looking analysis to explore what could happen under different restoration choices and assumptions. Future scenarios, pathways and what-if analyses will be added as NatuRISE develops and applies its assessment approaches.

What will you find here?

Scenarios
Alternative combinations of policies, restoration measures and external conditions.

What-if analyses
Explore how outcomes may change when key assumptions or decisions change.

Projections
Examine possible developments over time.

Future pathways
Explore different routes towards restoration objectives and their potential implications.

Questions we will explore

  • What could happen if different restoration measures are implemented?
  • How might benefits and costs change over time?
  • Where could restoration generate the greatest benefits?
  • Who could gain or face costs?
  • How might restoration interact with agriculture, forestry and other land uses?
  • What trade-offs and spillovers could emerge?
  • How could different policy choices shape future outcomes?

Why use scenarios?

Scenarios do not predict the future. They help us explore possibilities, test assumptions and understand choices.

NatuRISE will use this forward-looking evidence to support more informed restoration decisions under uncertainty.

Who is it for?

  • Policy-makers
  • Public authorities
  • Researchers and analysts
  • Restoration planners
  • Land managers
  • Stakeholders interested in alternative futures

Want to understand how these scenarios are developed?

Explore the NatuRISE approach.

Explore the NatuRISE approach